The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecasted that light to moderate rain and thundershowers are very likely in all districts of North Gujarat, several locations in South Gujarat, and isolated spots in Saurashtra and Kutch through July 22. This outlook stems from a well‑marked low‑pressure area over the north‑west Bay of Bengal, a monsoon trough, and an upper‑air cyclonic circulation over southwest Rajasthan, all of which are expected to channel moisture into northwest India.

Current Rainfall Figures

On Thursday, rainfall was recorded in 94 talukas across the state. Paddhari in Rajkot logged the highest total of 53 mm, followed by Kamrej (46 mm) in Surat, Rapar (43 mm) in Kutch, and several other locations with 30‑40 mm of rain. This sudden downpour ends a nearly week‑long dry spell and offers much‑needed relief to agriculture and water reservoirs.

IMD Forecast Details

Forecasters expect the light to moderate rain to linger until July 22, especially in northern Gujarat and parts of South Gujarat, with scattered showers in Saurashtra and Kutch. The combination of a low‑pressure system and a fresh Western Disturbance is projected to keep the rain pattern active over the next few days.

Impact on Residents and Fishermen

Since June 1, a total of 8,324 people have been relocated from low‑lying areas, and 3,711 have been rescued. Surat recorded the highest relocations (4,683) and rescues (3,416). The IMD also warned of squally winds reaching 45‑55 km/h along the Gujarat coastline, urging fishermen to stay ashore until July 20 for safety.

Historical Context and Outlook

To date, Gujarat has received about 25 % of its seasonal rainfall estimate, with South Gujarat accounting for the highest share at 35.29 %. Experts note that if the rain continues as projected, it will aid in replenishing water bodies and support crop growth. Nevertheless, authorities must remain vigilant about flash‑flood risks and strong coastal winds.